Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.005228 0.005520 0.005822 0.006158 0.006522 0.006906 0.007341
2025-12-14 0.004725 0.005149 0.005608 0.006145 0.006757 0.007438 0.008258
2025-12-21 0.004293 0.004771 0.005304 0.005946 0.006704 0.007578 0.008675
2025-12-28 0.004082 0.004612 0.005217 0.005964 0.006874 0.007959 0.009370
2026-01-04 0.003940 0.004515 0.005185 0.006034 0.007095 0.008398 0.010153
2026-01-11 0.003762 0.004362 0.005072 0.005990 0.007162 0.008638 0.010688
2026-01-18 0.003624 0.004246 0.004994 0.005977 0.007261 0.008917 0.011283
2026-01-25 0.003483 0.004117 0.004892 0.005925 0.007299 0.009111 0.011768
2026-02-01 0.003431 0.004097 0.004922 0.006042 0.007562 0.009616 0.012722
2026-02-08 0.003325 0.004002 0.004850 0.006017 0.007629 0.009851 0.013297
2026-02-15 0.003236 0.003924 0.004796 0.006012 0.007719 0.010120 0.013938
2026-02-22 0.003121 0.003808 0.004686 0.005925 0.007687 0.010207 0.014301
2026-03-01 0.003016 0.003702 0.004587 0.005849 0.007670 0.010317 0.014714
2026-03-08 0.002942 0.003634 0.004536 0.005839 0.007745 0.010568 0.015373
2026-03-15 0.002809 0.003483 0.004368 0.005654 0.007553 0.010400 0.015319
2026-03-22 0.002756 0.003439 0.004342 0.005671 0.007662 0.010701 0.016084
2026-03-29 0.002723 0.003420 0.004350 0.005736 0.007845 0.011127 0.017103
2026-04-05 0.002656 0.003352 0.004288 0.005694 0.007861 0.011284 0.017648
2026-04-12 0.002603 0.003301 0.004247 0.005683 0.007922 0.011517 0.018354
2026-04-19 0.002541 0.003235 0.004184 0.005635 0.007921 0.011645 0.018870
2026-04-26 0.002530 0.003242 0.004224 0.005743 0.008176 0.012222 0.020314
2026-05-03 0.002481 0.003192 0.004179 0.005720 0.008215 0.012425 0.021031
2026-05-10 0.002438 0.003151 0.004147 0.005715 0.008283 0.012683 0.021883